The model estimates 0.81 goals for Mbeya City and 2.02 for Simba. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mbeya City and 6 for Simba, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Simba · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mbeya City is going head to head with Simba on April 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 26.
Mbeya City take on Simba in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 7 April 2027 at 00:00.
Mbeya City are currently placed 10th in the table with 10 points, while Simba occupy 1st position with 24 points.
Mbeya City come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Simba have 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Simba to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.83. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 49%.




Mbeya City have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Simba are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Simba have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Simba have won 6 of their last 6 matches.