The model estimates 0.64 goals for Fountain Gate and 1.86 for Simba. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fountain Gate and 6 for Simba, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Simba · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fountain Gate is going head to head with Simba on October 28, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 10.
Fountain Gate take on Simba in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 28 October 2026 at 16:00.
Fountain Gate are currently placed 16th in the table with 6 points, while Simba occupy 1st position with 24 points.
Fountain Gate come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Simba have 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Simba to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 2.50. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 41%.




Fountain Gate have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Fountain Gate's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Fountain Gate's last 6 matches.
Simba are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Simba have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Simba have won 6 of their last 6 matches.