The model estimates 2.24 goals for Maritsa Milevo and 1.12 for Spartak Plovdiv. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Maritsa Milevo and 6 for Spartak Plovdiv, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Maritsa Milevo · 59%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Maritsa Milevo is going head to head with Spartak Plovdiv on November 14, 2026 at 15:30. This match is part of Bulgaria Third League South East — Round 15.
Maritsa Milevo take on Spartak Plovdiv in the Bulgaria Third League South East on 14 November 2026 at 15:30.
Maritsa Milevo are currently placed 2nd in the table with 31 points, while Spartak Plovdiv occupy 3rd position with 27 points.
Maritsa Milevo come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Spartak Plovdiv have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Maritsa Milevo have 2 wins against Spartak Plovdiv, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Maritsa Milevo to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.36. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 61%.




Maritsa Milevo are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Maritsa Milevo have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Maritsa Milevo have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Spartak Plovdiv have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Spartak Plovdiv have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Spartak Plovdiv's last 6 matches.