The model estimates 1.59 goals for Spartak Plovdiv and 2.29 for Krumovgrad. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Spartak Plovdiv and 6 for Krumovgrad, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Krumovgrad · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Spartak Plovdiv is going head to head with Krumovgrad on November 21, 2026 at 15:30. This match is part of Bulgaria Third League South East — Round 16.
Spartak Plovdiv take on Krumovgrad in the Bulgaria Third League South East on 21 November 2026 at 15:30.
Spartak Plovdiv are currently placed 3rd in the table with 24 points, while Krumovgrad occupy 1st position with 33 points.
Spartak Plovdiv come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Krumovgrad have 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Krumovgrad to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.87. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 72%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Spartak Plovdiv's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Spartak Plovdiv have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Spartak Plovdiv have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Krumovgrad are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Krumovgrad have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Krumovgrad have won 6 of their last 6 matches.