The model estimates 1.10 goals for Rodopa Smolyan and 2.03 for Maritsa Milevo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rodopa Smolyan and 6 for Maritsa Milevo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Maritsa Milevo · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rodopa Smolyan is going head to head with Maritsa Milevo on November 21, 2026 at 15:30. This match is part of Bulgaria Third League South East — Round 16.
Rodopa Smolyan take on Maritsa Milevo in the Bulgaria Third League South East on 21 November 2026 at 15:30.
Rodopa Smolyan are currently placed 8th in the table with 17 points, while Maritsa Milevo occupy 2nd position with 28 points.
Rodopa Smolyan come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Maritsa Milevo have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Maritsa Milevo have 3 wins against Rodopa Smolyan, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Maritsa Milevo to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.13. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 59%.




In their last 6 matches, Rodopa Smolyan have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rodopa Smolyan score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Rodopa Smolyan concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Maritsa Milevo's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Maritsa Milevo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Maritsa Milevo have won 4 of their last 6 matches.