The model estimates 1.54 goals for Sporting CP and 2.52 for Benfica. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sporting CP and 6 for Benfica, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Benfica · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sporting CP is going head to head with Benfica on May 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 33.
Sporting CP take on Benfica in the Primeira Liga on 9 May 2027 at 00:00.
Sporting CP are currently placed 3rd in the table with 18 points, while Benfica occupy 2nd position with 22 points.
Sporting CP come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Benfica have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Benfica to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.06. Over 2.5: 77%. BTTS: 73%.




In their last 6 matches, Sporting CP have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sporting CP's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sporting CP's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Benfica have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Benfica have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Benfica's last 6 matches.