The model estimates 2.01 goals for Marítimo and 1.22 for Rio Ave. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Marítimo and 6 for Rio Ave, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Marítimo · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Marítimo is going head to head with Rio Ave on December 13, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 14.
Marítimo take on Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga on 13 December 2026 at 19:00.
Marítimo are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Rio Ave occupy 17th position with 7 points.
Marítimo come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rio Ave have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 54 recorded meetings, Marítimo have 21 wins against Rio Ave, with 18 draws.
Prediction: Marítimo to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.23. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 62%.




Marítimo have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Marítimo have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Marítimo's last 6 matches.
Rio Ave have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Rio Ave's last 6 matches.
Rio Ave have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.