The model estimates 1.15 goals for Marítimo and 1.39 for Braga. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Marítimo and 6 for Braga, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Braga · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Marítimo is going head to head with Braga on December 27, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 16.
Marítimo take on Braga in the Primeira Liga on 27 December 2026 at 19:00.
Marítimo are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Braga occupy 9th position with 11 points.
Marítimo come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Braga have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Braga to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.54. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 53%.




Marítimo have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Marítimo have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Marítimo's last 6 matches.
Braga have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Braga's last 6 matches.
Braga have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.