The model estimates 1.16 goals for Rio Ave and 2.11 for Moreirense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rio Ave and 6 for Moreirense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Moreirense · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rio Ave is going head to head with Moreirense on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Primeira Liga — Round 17.
Rio Ave take on Moreirense in the Primeira Liga on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Rio Ave are currently placed 17th in the table with 7 points, while Moreirense occupy 10th position with 11 points.
Rio Ave come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Moreirense have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Moreirense to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.27. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 62%.




Rio Ave have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Rio Ave's last 6 matches.
Rio Ave have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Moreirense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Moreirense's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Moreirense's last 6 matches.