The model estimates 0.83 goals for Mancha and 1.39 for Arenas Armilla. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mancha and 6 for Arenas Armilla, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Arenas Armilla · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mancha is going head to head with Arenas Armilla on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 9 — Round 19.
Mancha take on Arenas Armilla in the Spain Tercera Division Group 9 on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Mancha are currently placed 16th in the table with 6 points, while Arenas Armilla occupy 2nd position with 18 points.
Mancha come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Arenas Armilla have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Arenas Armilla have 5 wins against Mancha, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Arenas Armilla to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.22. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 44%.
Mancha have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Mancha concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mancha's last 6 home matches.
Arenas Armilla are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Arenas Armilla have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Arenas Armilla's last 6 matches.