The model estimates 1.94 goals for Fatima and 1.67 for SB Castelo Branco. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fatima and 6 for SB Castelo Branco, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fatima · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fatima is going head to head with SB Castelo Branco on November 28, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 9.
Fatima take on SB Castelo Branco in the Campeonato de Portugal on 28 November 2026 at 18:00.
Fatima are currently placed 39th in the table with 5 points, while SB Castelo Branco occupy 18th position with 9 points.
Fatima come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas SB Castelo Branco have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Fatima have 4 wins against SB Castelo Branco, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Fatima to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.61. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 71%.




Fatima have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Fatima's last 6 matches.
Fatima score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
SB Castelo Branco score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.