The model estimates 2.26 goals for SB Castelo Branco and 1.40 for Nazarenos. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for SB Castelo Branco and 6 for Nazarenos, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: SB Castelo Branco · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
SB Castelo Branco is going head to head with Nazarenos on December 06, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 10.
SB Castelo Branco take on Nazarenos in the Campeonato de Portugal on 6 December 2026 at 18:00.
SB Castelo Branco are currently placed 18th in the table with 9 points, while Nazarenos occupy 48th position with 4 points.
SB Castelo Branco come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nazarenos have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: SB Castelo Branco to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.66. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 69%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
SB Castelo Branco score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Nazarenos have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Nazarenos have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Nazarenos's last 6 matches.