The model estimates 1.21 goals for Malveira and 1.40 for Alverca B. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Malveira and 6 for Alverca B, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alverca B · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Malveira is going head to head with Alverca B on November 28, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 9.
Malveira take on Alverca B in the Campeonato de Portugal on 28 November 2026 at 18:00.
Malveira are currently placed 27th in the table with 8 points, while Alverca B occupy 33rd position with 6 points.
Malveira come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Alverca B have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Malveira have 1 win against Alverca B.
Prediction: Alverca B to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.61. Over 2.5: 48%. BTTS: 54%.




In their last 6 matches, Malveira have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Malveira have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Malveira concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Alverca B have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Alverca B have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Alverca B's last 6 matches.