The model estimates 2.77 goals for Mainz and 1.85 for Elversberg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mainz and 6 for Elversberg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mainz · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mainz is going head to head with Elversberg on March 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 25.
Mainz take on Elversberg in the Bundesliga on 6 March 2027 at 00:00.
Mainz are currently placed 7th in the table with 10 points, while Elversberg occupy 8th position with 10 points.
Mainz come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Elversberg have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Mainz to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.62. Over 2.5: 84%. BTTS: 80%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Mainz score an average of 2.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Elversberg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Elversberg's last 6 matches.
Elversberg score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.