The model estimates 4.98 goals for Bayern Munich and 1.08 for Mainz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bayern Munich and 6 for Mainz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bayern Munich · 80%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bayern Munich is going head to head with Mainz on March 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 26.
Bayern Munich take on Mainz in the Bundesliga on 13 March 2027 at 00:00.
Bayern Munich are currently placed 1st in the table with 17 points, while Mainz occupy 7th position with 10 points.
Bayern Munich come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mainz have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 44 recorded meetings, Bayern Munich have 32 wins against Mainz, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Bayern Munich to win with probability 80%. Most likely scoreline: 4-1. Avg goals: 6.06. Over 2.5: 94%. BTTS: 66%.




Bayern Munich are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bayern Munich have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Bayern Munich's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Mainz score an average of 2.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.