The model estimates 2.66 goals for Mainz and 2.13 for Augsburg. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mainz and 6 for Augsburg, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mainz · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mainz is going head to head with Augsburg on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 27.
Mainz take on Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Mainz are currently placed 7th in the table with 10 points, while Augsburg occupy 9th position with 9 points.
Mainz come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Augsburg have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 35 recorded meetings, Mainz have 16 wins against Augsburg, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Mainz to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.79. Over 2.5: 86%. BTTS: 83%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Mainz score an average of 2.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Augsburg's last 6 matches.
Augsburg have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Augsburg's last 6 matches.