The model estimates 2.83 goals for Mainz and 1.54 for Borussia M'gladbach. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mainz and 6 for Borussia M'gladbach, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mainz · 59%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mainz is going head to head with Borussia M'gladbach on February 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 21.
Mainz take on Borussia M'gladbach in the Bundesliga on 13 February 2027 at 00:00.
Mainz are currently placed 9th in the table with 10 points, while Borussia M'gladbach occupy 18th position with 4 points.
Mainz come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Borussia M'gladbach have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 23 recorded meetings, Borussia M'gladbach have 9 wins against Mainz, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Mainz to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.37. Over 2.5: 81%. BTTS: 75%.
MAIBORMAIBORMAIBORMAIBORMAIBORMAIBORMAIBORMAIBORMAIBORThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Mainz have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Borussia M'gladbach have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Borussia M'gladbach's last 6 matches.
Borussia M'gladbach have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
