The model estimates 2.98 goals for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.50 for Mainz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bayer Leverkusen and 6 for Mainz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bayer Leverkusen · 65%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bayer Leverkusen is going head to head with Mainz on February 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 22.
Bayer Leverkusen take on Mainz in the Bundesliga on 20 February 2027 at 00:00.
Bayer Leverkusen are currently placed 4th in the table with 13 points, while Mainz occupy 7th position with 10 points.
Bayer Leverkusen come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mainz have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 42 recorded meetings, Bayer Leverkusen have 23 wins against Mainz, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.49. Over 2.5: 82%. BTTS: 74%.
BAYMAIBAYMAIBAYMAIBAYMAIBAYMAIBAYMAIBAYMAIBAYMAIBAYMAIIn their last 6 matches, Bayer Leverkusen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 6 matches.
Bayer Leverkusen have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mainz's last 6 matches.
Mainz score an average of 2.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
