The model estimates 1.31 goals for Köln and 1.91 for Bayer Leverkusen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Köln and 6 for Bayer Leverkusen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bayer Leverkusen · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Köln is going head to head with Bayer Leverkusen on November 07, 2026 at 14:30. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 9.
Köln take on Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 7 November 2026 at 14:30.
Köln are currently placed 13th in the table with 8 points, while Bayer Leverkusen occupy 4th position with 13 points.
Köln come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bayer Leverkusen have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 76 recorded meetings, Bayer Leverkusen have 33 wins against Köln, with 25 draws.
Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.23. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 64%.




Köln have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Köln's last 6 matches.
Köln concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Bayer Leverkusen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Bayer Leverkusen's last 6 matches.
Bayer Leverkusen have won 4 of their last 6 matches.