The model estimates 1.22 goals for Olympique Marseille and 1.31 for Lille. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Olympique Marseille and 6 for Lille, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Olympique Marseille · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Olympique Marseille is going head to head with Lille on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 16.
Olympique Marseille take on Lille in the Ligue 1 on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Olympique Marseille are currently placed 7th in the table with 12 points, while Lille occupy 3rd position with 15 points.
Olympique Marseille come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lille have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 55 recorded meetings, Olympique Marseille have 22 wins against Lille, with 15 draws.
Prediction: Olympique Marseille and Lille to draw with probability 30%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.52. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 53%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Olympique Marseille's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Olympique Marseille's last 6 matches.
Olympique Marseille score an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Lille have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Lille concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Lille have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.