The model estimates 1.22 goals for Strasbourg and 1.44 for Lille. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Strasbourg and 6 for Lille, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lille · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Strasbourg is going head to head with Lille on May 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 30.
Strasbourg take on Lille in the Ligue 1 on 1 May 2027 at 00:00.
Strasbourg are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while Lille occupy 3rd position with 15 points.
Strasbourg come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lille have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 96 recorded meetings, Strasbourg have 38 wins against Lille, with 22 draws.
Prediction: Lille to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.66. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 55%.




Strasbourg have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Strasbourg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Strasbourg's last 6 matches.
Lille have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Lille concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Lille have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.