The model estimates 2.00 goals for Lens and 1.31 for Toulouse. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lens and 6 for Toulouse, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lens · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lens is going head to head with Toulouse on November 21, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 11.
Lens take on Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 21 November 2026 at 16:00.
Lens are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Toulouse occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Lens come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Toulouse have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 87 recorded meetings, Lens have 34 wins against Toulouse, with 24 draws.
Prediction: Lens to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.31. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 64%.




Lens have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lens's last 6 matches.
Lens concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Toulouse have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Toulouse have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Toulouse's last 6 matches.