The model estimates 1.10 goals for Angers and 2.14 for Lens. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Angers and 6 for Lens, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lens · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Angers is going head to head with Lens on November 28, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 12.
Angers take on Lens in the Ligue 1 on 28 November 2026 at 16:00.
Angers are currently placed 14th in the table with 8 points, while Lens occupy 9th position with 11 points.
Angers come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lens have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 55 recorded meetings, Lens have 25 wins against Angers, with 15 draws.
Prediction: Lens to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.24. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 60%.




Angers have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Angers have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Angers concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Lens have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lens's last 6 matches.
Lens concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.