The model estimates 1.31 goals for Lens and 1.75 for PSG. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lens and 6 for PSG, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: PSG · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lens is going head to head with PSG on January 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 15.
Lens take on PSG in the Ligue 1 on 3 January 2027 at 00:00.
Lens are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while PSG occupy 1st position with 17 points.
Lens come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas PSG have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 86 recorded meetings, PSG have 45 wins against Lens, with 20 draws.
Prediction: PSG to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.05. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 62%.




Lens have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lens's last 6 matches.
Lens concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, PSG have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
PSG have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of PSG's last 6 matches.