The model estimates 1.27 goals for Monaco and 1.47 for PSG. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Monaco and 6 for PSG, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Monaco · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Monaco is going head to head with PSG on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 18.
Monaco take on PSG in the Ligue 1 on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Monaco are currently placed 4th in the table with 15 points, while PSG occupy 1st position with 17 points.
Monaco come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas PSG have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 112 recorded meetings, Monaco have 48 wins against PSG, with 28 draws.
Prediction: PSG to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.74. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 57%.




In their last 6 matches, Monaco have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Monaco's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Monaco's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, PSG have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
PSG have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of PSG's last 6 matches.