The model estimates 2.07 goals for Rennes and 1.72 for Lens. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rennes and 6 for Lens, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Rennes · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rennes is going head to head with Lens on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 16.
Rennes take on Lens in the Ligue 1 on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Rennes are currently placed 2nd in the table with 16 points, while Lens occupy 9th position with 11 points.
Rennes come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lens have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 97 recorded meetings, Lens have 39 wins against Rennes, with 28 draws.
Prediction: Rennes to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.79. Over 2.5: 73%. BTTS: 73%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Rennes's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rennes have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Rennes's last 6 matches.
Lens have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lens's last 6 matches.
Lens concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.