The model estimates 1.82 goals for Leek and 1.98 for Gainsborough. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leek and 6 for Gainsborough, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Gainsborough · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leek is going head to head with Gainsborough on November 24, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 16.
Leek take on Gainsborough in the England Northern Premier on 24 November 2026 at 19:45.
Leek are currently placed 18th in the table with 14 points, while Gainsborough occupy 4th position with 28 points.
Leek come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gainsborough have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Gainsborough have 3 wins against Leek.
Prediction: Gainsborough to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.79. Over 2.5: 73%. BTTS: 73%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Leek's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Leek's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leek have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Gainsborough's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gainsborough have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Gainsborough have won 5 of their last 6 matches.