The model estimates 1.85 goals for Leek and 1.66 for Workington. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leek and 6 for Workington, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leek · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leek is going head to head with Workington on December 12, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of England Northern Premier — Round 23.
Leek take on Workington in the England Northern Premier on 12 December 2026 at 15:00.
Leek are currently placed 18th in the table with 14 points, while Workington occupy 7th position with 24 points.
Leek come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Workington have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 6 recorded meetings, Leek have 2 wins against Workington, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Leek to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.51. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 70%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Leek's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Leek's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leek have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Workington's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Workington's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Workington have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.