The model estimates 1.74 goals for Atalanta and 0.97 for Genoa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Atalanta and 6 for Genoa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Atalanta · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Atalanta is going head to head with Genoa on December 13, 2026 at 20:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 15.
Atalanta take on Genoa in the Serie A on 13 December 2026 at 20:30.
Atalanta are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Genoa occupy 16th position with 7 points.
Atalanta come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Genoa have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 91 recorded meetings, Atalanta have 34 wins against Genoa, with 28 draws.
Prediction: Atalanta to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.71. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 53%.




Atalanta have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
Genoa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Genoa's last 6 matches.
Genoa concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.