The model estimates 1.28 goals for Riga FC and 1.26 for Atalanta. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Riga FC and 6 for Atalanta, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Riga FC · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Riga FC is going head to head with Atalanta on December 10, 2026 at 17:45. This match is part of UEFA Europa Conference League — Round 5.
Riga FC take on Atalanta in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 10 December 2026 at 17:45.
Riga FC are currently placed 21st in the table with 2 points, while Atalanta occupy 15th position with 3 points.
Riga FC come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atalanta have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Riga FC to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.54. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 53%.


Riga FC are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Riga FC have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Riga FC's last 6 matches.
Atalanta have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.