The model estimates 1.51 goals for Lazio and 1.38 for Napoli. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lazio and 6 for Napoli, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lazio · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lazio is going head to head with Napoli on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 25.
Lazio take on Napoli in the Serie A on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Lazio are currently placed 2nd in the table with 25 points, while Napoli occupy 8th position with 14 points.
Lazio come into this match with 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Napoli have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 151 recorded meetings, Napoli have 58 wins against Lazio, with 47 draws.
Prediction: Lazio to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.90. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 60%.
LAZNAPLAZNAPLAZNAPLAZNAPLAZNAPLAZNAPLAZNAPLAZNAPLAZNAPLazio are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lazio have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Lazio have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Napoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Napoli score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Napoli have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 away matches.
