The model estimates 0.86 goals for Genoa and 1.71 for Lazio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Genoa and 6 for Lazio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lazio · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Genoa is going head to head with Lazio on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 26.
Genoa take on Lazio in the Serie A on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
Genoa are currently placed 13th in the table with 10 points, while Lazio occupy 2nd position with 25 points.
Genoa come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lazio have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 113 recorded meetings, Lazio have 48 wins against Genoa, with 27 draws.
Prediction: Lazio to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.57. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 49%.




In their last 6 matches, Genoa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Genoa's last 6 matches.
Lazio are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lazio have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Lazio have won 5 of their last 6 matches.