The model estimates 2.46 goals for Aston Villa and 1.12 for Borussia Dortmund. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aston Villa and 6 for Borussia Dortmund, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aston Villa · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aston Villa is going head to head with Borussia Dortmund on January 18, 2027 at 21:00. This match is part of UEFA Champions League — Round 7.
Aston Villa take on Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League on 18 January 2027 at 21:00.
Aston Villa are currently placed 2nd in the table with 9 points, while Borussia Dortmund occupy 13th position with 6 points.
Aston Villa come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Borussia Dortmund have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Aston Villa to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.58. Over 2.5: 69%. BTTS: 63%.


There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aston Villa have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Borussia Dortmund have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Borussia Dortmund have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Borussia Dortmund's last 6 matches.