The model estimates 1.69 goals for Kagera Sugar and 1.11 for Mbeya City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Kagera Sugar and 6 for Mbeya City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Kagera Sugar · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Kagera Sugar is going head to head with Mbeya City on February 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 20.
Kagera Sugar take on Mbeya City in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 7 February 2027 at 00:00.
Kagera Sugar are currently placed 15th in the table with 6 points, while Mbeya City occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Kagera Sugar come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mbeya City have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Kagera Sugar have 1 win against Mbeya City.
Prediction: Kagera Sugar to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.80. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 56%.




Kagera Sugar have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Kagera Sugar's last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.