The model estimates 2.04 goals for Geita Gold and 1.23 for Mbeya City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Geita Gold and 6 for Mbeya City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Geita Gold · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Geita Gold is going head to head with Mbeya City on February 15, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 22.
Geita Gold take on Mbeya City in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 15 February 2027 at 00:00.
Geita Gold are currently placed 12th in the table with 9 points, while Mbeya City occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Geita Gold come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mbeya City have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Geita Gold have 1 win against Mbeya City.
Prediction: Geita Gold to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.28. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 63%.




Geita Gold have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Geita Gold have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Geita Gold concede an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.