The model estimates 1.88 goals for Jong Utrecht and 1.65 for De Graafschap. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jong Utrecht and 6 for De Graafschap, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Jong Utrecht · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jong Utrecht is going head to head with De Graafschap on January 25, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 23.
Jong Utrecht take on De Graafschap in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 25 January 2027 at 00:00.
Jong Utrecht are currently placed 20th in the table with 7 points, while De Graafschap occupy 16th position with 12 points.
Jong Utrecht come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas De Graafschap have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 19 recorded meetings, De Graafschap have 11 wins against Jong Utrecht, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Jong Utrecht to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.53. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 70%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Jong Utrecht's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Jong Utrecht's last 6 matches.
Jong Utrecht have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of De Graafschap's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, De Graafschap have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
De Graafschap have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.