The model estimates 2.73 goals for Almere City and 1.18 for Jong Utrecht. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Almere City and 6 for Jong Utrecht, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Almere City · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Almere City is going head to head with Jong Utrecht on January 29, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 24.
Almere City take on Jong Utrecht in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 29 January 2027 at 00:00.
Almere City are currently placed 4th in the table with 22 points, while Jong Utrecht occupy 20th position with 7 points.
Almere City come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jong Utrecht have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 15 recorded meetings, Almere City have 12 wins against Jong Utrecht, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Almere City to win with probability 64%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.91. Over 2.5: 75%. BTTS: 65%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Almere City's last 6 matches.
Almere City have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Almere City score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Jong Utrecht's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Jong Utrecht's last 6 matches.
Jong Utrecht have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.