The model estimates 2.04 goals for De Graafschap and 1.69 for Helmond. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for De Graafschap and 6 for Helmond, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: De Graafschap · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
De Graafschap is going head to head with Helmond on January 29, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 24.
De Graafschap take on Helmond in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 29 January 2027 at 00:00.
De Graafschap are currently placed 16th in the table with 12 points, while Helmond occupy 19th position with 9 points.
De Graafschap come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Helmond have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, De Graafschap have yet to beat Helmond, with 1 draw.
Prediction: De Graafschap to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.73. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 72%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of De Graafschap's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, De Graafschap have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
De Graafschap have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Helmond have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Helmond have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Helmond's last 6 matches.