The model estimates 1.69 goals for Helmond and 2.22 for Almere City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Helmond and 6 for Almere City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Almere City · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Helmond is going head to head with Almere City on April 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 32.
Helmond take on Almere City in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 2 April 2027 at 00:00.
Helmond are currently placed 17th in the table with 12 points, while Almere City occupy 3rd position with 25 points.
Helmond come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Almere City have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Almere City to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.91. Over 2.5: 75%. BTTS: 74%.




Helmond have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Helmond have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Helmond's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Almere City's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Almere City's last 6 matches.
Almere City score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.