The model estimates 2.47 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.95 for Istra 1961. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Hajduk Split and 6 for Istra 1961, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hajduk Split · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Hajduk Split is going head to head with Istra 1961 on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of HNL — Round 20.
Hajduk Split take on Istra 1961 in the HNL on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Hajduk Split are currently placed 1st in the table with 23 points, while Istra 1961 occupy 6th position with 13 points.
Hajduk Split come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Istra 1961 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 73 recorded meetings, Hajduk Split have 40 wins against Istra 1961, with 18 draws.
Prediction: Hajduk Split to win with probability 65%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.42. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 57%.




In their last 6 matches, Hajduk Split have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Hajduk Split have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hajduk Split's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Istra 1961 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Istra 1961 have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Istra 1961 concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 away matches.