The model estimates 0.80 goals for Gorica and 1.48 for Hajduk Split. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Gorica and 6 for Hajduk Split, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hajduk Split · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Gorica is going head to head with Hajduk Split on February 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of HNL — Round 21.
Gorica take on Hajduk Split in the HNL on 6 February 2027 at 00:00.
Gorica are currently placed 10th in the table with 7 points, while Hajduk Split occupy 1st position with 23 points.
Gorica come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hajduk Split have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 36 recorded meetings, Hajduk Split have 19 wins against Gorica, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Hajduk Split to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.28. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 44%.




Gorica have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gorica have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Gorica's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Hajduk Split have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Hajduk Split have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hajduk Split's last 6 matches.