The model estimates 1.07 goals for NK Zagreb and 1.62 for Hajduk Split. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for NK Zagreb and 6 for Hajduk Split, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hajduk Split · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
NK Zagreb is going head to head with Hajduk Split on February 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of HNL — Round 23.
NK Zagreb take on Hajduk Split in the HNL on 20 February 2027 at 00:00.
NK Zagreb are currently placed 8th in the table with 11 points, while Hajduk Split occupy 1st position with 23 points.
NK Zagreb come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hajduk Split have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 128 recorded meetings, Hajduk Split have 75 wins against NK Zagreb, with 24 draws.
Prediction: Hajduk Split to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.69. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 54%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of NK Zagreb's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, NK Zagreb have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
NK Zagreb have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Hajduk Split have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Hajduk Split have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hajduk Split's last 6 matches.