The model estimates 0.77 goals for Groene Ster and 2.50 for Excelsior Maassluis. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Groene Ster and 6 for Excelsior Maassluis, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Excelsior Maassluis · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Groene Ster is going head to head with Excelsior Maassluis on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 19.
Groene Ster take on Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Groene Ster are currently placed 30th in the table with 9 points, while Excelsior Maassluis occupy 3rd position with 26 points.
Groene Ster come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Excelsior Maassluis have 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Excelsior Maassluis have 1 win against Groene Ster.
Prediction: Excelsior Maassluis to win with probability 65%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 3.27. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 50%.




Groene Ster have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Groene Ster's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Groene Ster's last 6 matches.
Excelsior Maassluis are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Excelsior Maassluis have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Excelsior Maassluis have won 6 of their last 6 matches.