The model estimates 1.52 goals for Groene Ster and 2.62 for TOGB. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Groene Ster and 6 for TOGB, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: TOGB · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Groene Ster is going head to head with TOGB on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 21.
Groene Ster take on TOGB in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
Groene Ster are currently placed 30th in the table with 9 points, while TOGB occupy 23rd position with 12 points.
Groene Ster come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas TOGB have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, TOGB have 5 wins against Groene Ster, with 2 draws.
Prediction: TOGB to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.14. Over 2.5: 78%. BTTS: 73%.




Groene Ster have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Groene Ster's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Groene Ster's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of TOGB's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, TOGB have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of TOGB's last 6 matches.