The model estimates 1.08 goals for Excelsior Maassluis and 1.14 for Lisse. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Excelsior Maassluis and 6 for Lisse, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Excelsior Maassluis · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Excelsior Maassluis is going head to head with Lisse on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 20.
Excelsior Maassluis take on Lisse in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Excelsior Maassluis are currently placed 3rd in the table with 26 points, while Lisse occupy 2nd position with 28 points.
Excelsior Maassluis come into this match with 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lisse have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Excelsior Maassluis have 3 wins against Lisse, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Lisse to win with probability 35%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.21. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 46%.
EXCLISEXCLISEXCLISEXCLISEXCLISEXCLISEXCLISEXCLISEXCLISExcelsior Maassluis are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Excelsior Maassluis have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Excelsior Maassluis have won 6 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lisse have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Lisse have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lisse's last 6 matches.
