The model estimates 1.55 goals for Gran Pena (Esp) and 1.82 for Sarriana. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Gran Pena (Esp) and 6 for Sarriana, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Gran Pena (Esp) · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Gran Pena (Esp) is going head to head with Sarriana on February 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division G1 — Round 21.
Gran Pena (Esp) take on Sarriana in the Spain Tercera Division G1 on 7 February 2027 at 00:00.
Gran Pena (Esp) are currently placed 17th in the table with 7 points, while Sarriana occupy 3rd position with 15 points.
Gran Pena (Esp) come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sarriana have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Gran Pena (Esp) have 2 wins against Sarriana, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Sarriana to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.37. Over 2.5: 65%. BTTS: 67%.




Gran Pena (Esp) have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Gran Pena (Esp) have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Gran Pena (Esp)'s last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sarriana have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Sarriana's last 6 matches.
Sarriana have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.