The model estimates 1.32 goals for Celtiga and 1.33 for Gran Pena (Esp). These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Celtiga and 6 for Gran Pena (Esp), before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Celtiga · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Celtiga is going head to head with Gran Pena (Esp) on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division G1 — Round 24.
Celtiga take on Gran Pena (Esp) in the Spain Tercera Division G1 on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
Celtiga are currently placed 13th in the table with 10 points, while Gran Pena (Esp) occupy 17th position with 7 points.
Celtiga come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gran Pena (Esp) have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Celtiga have 2 wins against Gran Pena (Esp), with 1 draw.
Prediction: Celtiga to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.65. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 56%.


In their last 6 matches, Celtiga have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Celtiga have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Celtiga's last 6 matches.
Gran Pena (Esp) have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Gran Pena (Esp) have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Gran Pena (Esp)'s last 6 matches.