The model estimates 2.14 goals for Freiburg and 1.74 for RB Leipzig. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Freiburg and 6 for RB Leipzig, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Freiburg · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Freiburg is going head to head with RB Leipzig on November 28, 2026 at 14:30. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 11.
Freiburg take on RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 28 November 2026 at 14:30.
Freiburg are currently placed 3rd in the table with 13 points, while RB Leipzig occupy 5th position with 12 points.
Freiburg come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas RB Leipzig have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 24 recorded meetings, RB Leipzig have 13 wins against Freiburg, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Freiburg to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.88. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 74%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Freiburg have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of RB Leipzig's last 6 matches.
RB Leipzig have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
RB Leipzig have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.