The model estimates 1.61 goals for Freiburg and 1.11 for Borussia Dortmund. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Freiburg and 6 for Borussia Dortmund, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Freiburg · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Freiburg is going head to head with Borussia Dortmund on May 22, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 34.
Freiburg take on Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 22 May 2027 at 00:00.
Freiburg are currently placed 2nd in the table with 19 points, while Borussia Dortmund occupy 3rd position with 19 points.
Freiburg come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Borussia Dortmund have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 53 recorded meetings, Borussia Dortmund have 35 wins against Freiburg, with 12 draws.
Prediction: Freiburg to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.72. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 55%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Freiburg's last 6 matches.
Freiburg concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Freiburg have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Borussia Dortmund are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Borussia Dortmund have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Borussia Dortmund's last 6 matches.