The model estimates 1.13 goals for Salgueiros and 0.98 for Florgrade. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Salgueiros and 6 for Florgrade, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Salgueiros · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Salgueiros is going head to head with Florgrade on April 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 25.
Salgueiros take on Florgrade in the Campeonato de Portugal on 11 April 2027 at 00:00.
Salgueiros are currently placed 36th in the table with 6 points, while Florgrade occupy 15th position with 10 points.
Salgueiros come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Florgrade have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Salgueiros and Florgrade to draw with probability 32%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.10. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 44%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Salgueiros's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Salgueiros have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Salgueiros have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Florgrade's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Florgrade have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Florgrade have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.